16 January, 2017

Trump Will Fix It !!!

I have no idea who Alistair is. But I like his turn of phrase.



From: Alistair
Sent: 16 January, 2017 3:59 PM
To: 'Joshua Frydenberg'; greg.hunt.mp@aph.gov.au
Cc: c.pyne.mp@aph.gov.au; 'Richard Di Natale'; 'Sarah Hanson-Young'; malcolm.turnbull.mp@aph.gov.au
Subject: 170116-QoL: Climate Wars Hot Goblins & Hobgoblins


“Peter,
The fake pseudo-'climate science' has about as much validity to be called a science as alchemy, horoscopes (yet millions read them) and gambling systems at roulette.

Models are not science, but are a useful tool even in the hard science disciplines where the parameters can be set with some reliability.  This cannot apply in statistical 'sciences' based only on models or probabilities.  It has rained on 7% of Melbourne Cup races, so tell me, will it rain in 2017?  I won a bet on the MC weather when I took the odds that it would NOT rain, basing my risk on the biased fact that we were in a drought.  It could have been the year the drought broke, so if I had bet every year for 10 years, then on the year it rained I would have lost all my 'winnings' - and more.

There is nothing unusual about what is happening to the weather or the climate, except that the increase in CO2 is immensely beneficial, as would be an extra couple of degrees Centigrade. 
The extra CO2 is feeding additional plant growth, so the Earth is a self-regulating system as the greening determined by satellite measurements show. Unfortunately at the current rate of CO2 improvement it will take about 800 – 1,000 years to reach the optimum level of CO2 as plants will increase their offtake.
Life & speciation flourishes in warm climates as the Carboniferous Age demonstrated. Unfortunately, we are unlikely to see that happy day of a 2C increase as global cooling is a more likely probability.

Climate Disruption? Extreme Weather events?  Nothing to see here - and I take no [statistical] comfort in their current decrease of extreme weather as this is just another random statistical blip.  Can you imagine the delight of the numpties if there was an equally random increase?

You could have noted that this cult of the simple folk has actually nothing to do with reality, or facts, or weather, or climate, but everything to do with totalitarian power that will allow the deliberate de-industrialisation and depopulation of the majority of people as from the ashes a new society will arise? Where have you heard that false vision before?
I would cut the electricity connector to SA so we can use them as we would a Petri dish culture of the consequences of this (ig)Noble Corruption.  Build a wall first or the SA refugees will swamp us.

Let me prove to you that the CAGW crowd have no idea what they [scientifically] want, but will destroy civilisation to achieve their 'aims' through their fake climate tool. I will also pre-empt the inevitable entry of the 'MacDougall' by asking ANY true believer to answer two simple questions:
1. What is the IDEAL average global temperature that will be of greatest benefit to the world? and
2. What is the IDEAL average concentration of CO2 in ppm, and why?

If the minions cannot tell us the answer to those questions, then forget facts as the climate con is a political question, not a scientific one.  ”

Alistair

Sceptical Scientific Contrarian
Climate Change Denier, 7th Dan Black Belt

Seek the Truth,
No matter what you would prefer to believe.
Leave beliefs and cults to the simple folk.

02 January, 2017

Western Values


I like this clarity of expression. One often hears comments on the history of Western Civilisation not being taught to our youth. This spells out clearly what one person sees as western values.

Of course, some who believe in those values take them for granted and one wonders whether they realise how extensive they are and how important each is as a part of the whole. One way of realising that is to look at how a non-believer was converted and how he then expressed those values.  Such an expression by a Muslim Apostate is attached (see Western Values) and the following captures the essence of his view:



The Superiority of Western Values in Eight Minutes

   By: Ibn Warraq
   In a public debate in London against Tariq Ramadan, Ibn Warraq was given eight minutes to argue the superiority of Western values. Here is his defense of the West, which forms the basis for his new book, Why the West is Best: A Muslim Apostate’s Defense of Liberal Democracy.
The great ideas of the West—rationalism, self-criticism, the disinterested search for truth, the separation of church and state, the rule of law, equality before the law, freedom of conscience and expression, human rights, liberal democracy—together constitute quite an achievement, surely, for any civilization. This set of principles remains the best and perhaps the only means for all people, no matter what race or creed, to live in freedom and reach their full potential.[1] Western values—the basis of the West’s self-evident economic, social, political, scientific and cultural success—are clearly superior to any other set of values devised by mankind. When Western values have been adopted by other societies, such as Japan or South Korea, their citizens have reaped benefits.
Life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness: this triptych succinctly defines the attractiveness and superiority of Western civilization. In the West we are free to think what we want, to read what we want, to practice our religion, to live as we choose.  Liberty is codified in human rights, a magnificent Western creation but also, I believe, a universal good.  Human Rights transcend local or ethnocentric values, conferring equal dignity and value on all humanity, regardless of sex, ethnicity, sexual preference, or religion. At the same time, it is in the West that human rights are most respected.
It is the West that has liberated women, racial minorities, religious minorities, and gays and lesbians, recognizing their rights. The notions of freedom and human rights were present at the dawn of Western civilization, as ideals at least, but have gradually come to fruition through supreme acts of self-criticism.  Because of its exceptional capacity for self-criticism, the West took the initiative in abolishing slavery; the calls for abolition did not resonate even in black Africa, where rival African tribes took black prisoners to be sold as slaves in the West.
Today, many non-Western cultures follow customs and practices that are clear violations of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (1948).  In many countries, especially Islamic ones, you are not free to read what you want.  Under sharia, or Islamic law, women are not free to marry whom they wish, and their rights of inheritance are circumscribed.  Sharia, derived from the Koran and the practice and sayings of Muhammad, prescribes barbaric punishments such as stoning to death for adultery.  It calls for homosexuals and apostates to be executed.  In Saudi Arabia, among other countries, Muslims are not free to convert to Christianity, and Christians are not free to practice their faith.  The Koran is not a rights-respecting document.
Under Islam, life is a closed book. Everything has been decided for you, the dictates of sharia and the whims of Allah set strict limits on the possible agenda of your life.  In the West, we have the choice to pursue our desires and ambitions. We are free as individuals to set the goals and determine the contents of our own lives, and to decide what meaning to give to our lives.  As Roger Scruton remarks, “The glory of the West is that life is an open book.”[2] The West has given us the liberal miracle of individual rights and responsibility and merit. Rather than the chains of inherited status, Western societies offer unparalleled social mobility.  The West, Alan Kors writes, “is a society of ever richer, more varied, more productive, more self-defined, and more satisfying lives.”[3]
Instead of the mind-numbing certainties and dictates of Islam, Western civilization offers what Bertrand Russell called liberating doubt.[4]  Even the process of politics in the West involves trial and error, open discussion, criticism, and self-correction.[5] This quest for knowledge, no matter where it leads, a desire inherited from the Greeks, has produced an institution that is rarely equaled outside the West:  the university. And the outside world recognizes this superiority of Western universities. Easterners come to the West to learn not only about the sciences developed in the last five hundred years, but also about their own cultures, about Eastern civilizations and languages. They come to Oxford and Cambridge, to Harvard and Yale, to Heidelberg and the Sorbonne to acquire their doctorates because these degrees confer prestige unrivalled by similar credentials from Third World countries.
Western universities, research institutes, and libraries are created to be independent institutions where the pursuit of truth is conducted in a spirit of disinterested inquiry, free from political pressures.  The basic difference between the West and the Rest might be summed up as a difference in epistemological principles. Behind the success of modern Western societies, with their science and technology, and their open institutions, lies a distinct way of looking at the world, interpreting it, and rectifying problems: by lifting them out of the religious sphere and treating them empirically, finding solutions in rational procedures. The whole edifice of modern science is one of Western man’s greatest gifts to the world.[6]   The West is responsible for almost every major scientific discovery of the last 500 hundred years, from heliocentrism and the telescope, to electricity, to computers.
The West has given the world the symphony and the novel.  A culture that engendered the spiritual creations of Mozart and Beethoven, Wagner and Schubert, of Raphael and Michelangelo, Leonardo Da Vinci and Rembrandt does not need lessons in spirituality from societies whose vision of heaven resembles a cosmic brothel stocked with virgins for men’s pleasure.
The West gave us the Red Cross, Doctors without Borders, Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International and many other manifestations of the humanitarian impulse. It is the West that provides the bulk of the aid to beleaguered Darfur, while Islamic countries are conspicuous by their absence.
The West does not need lectures on the superior virtue of societies where women are kept in subjection, endure genital mutilation, are married off against their will at the age of nine, have acid thrown on their faces or are stoned to death for alleged adultery, or where human rights are denied to those regarded as belonging to lower castes.[7] The West does not need sanctimonious homilies from societies that cannot provide clean drinking water or sewage systems for their populations, that cannot educate their citizens, but leave 40-50 percent of them illiterate, that make no provisions for the handicapped, that have no sense of the common good or civic responsibility, that are riddled with corruption.
No Western politician would be able to get away with the kind of racist remarks that are tolerated in the Third World, such as the anti-Semitic diatribes of the Malaysian leader Mahathir Mohamad.  Instead, there would be calls for resignation, both from Third World leaders and from Western media and intellectuals. Double standards?  Yes, but also a tacit acknowledgement that we expect higher ethical standards from the West.
The Ayatollah Khomeini once famously said there are no jokes in Islam. The West is able to look at its own foibles and laugh, even make fun of its own fundamental principles. There is no Islamic equivalent to Monty Python’s Life of Brian. Can we look forward to seeing The Life of Mo anytime in the future?
The rest of the world recognizes the virtues of the West in concrete ways.  As Arthur Schlesinger remarked, “When Chinese students cried and died for democracy in Tiananmen Square, they brought with them not representations of Confucius or Buddha but a model of the Statue of Liberty.”[8] Millions of people risk their lives trying to get to the West—not to Saudi Arabia or Iran or Pakistan.  They flee from theocratic or other totalitarian regimes to find tolerance and freedom in the West, where life is an open book.



[1]Bruce Thornton. “Golden Threads: Former Muslim Ibn Warraq Stands Up for the West,” City Journal, August 17, 2007.

[2]     Roger Scruton. “The Glory of the West is that Life is an Open Book,” Sunday Times, May 27, 2007.
[3]     Alan Charles Kors, Can There be an ‘After Socialism’? in Social Philosophy and Policy, 2003; 20 (1)  pp.1-17 .
[4]     Bertrand Russell, The Problems of Philosophy, London: Williams & Norgate, [Ist edn.1912] Chapter XV.
[5]     Roger Scruton, “The Defense of the West,”  A Lecture given at the Columbia Political Union, New York, Thursday, April 14th, 2005.
[6]     Caroline Cox & John Marks, The ‘West’, Islam and Islamism: Is Ideological Islam Compatible with Liberal Democracy? (London: Civitas, 2003) pp.12-13.
[7]     A.M.Schlesinger, Jr. The Disuniting of America. Reflections on a Multicultural Society ( New York: Norton, 1992) p.128.
[8]     Ibid., p.129.

Great Success Story

This is a great success story. David and Nell Brook are great operators. And  OBE don't own any abattoirs!

Organic cattle pioneer is enjoying the fattest of years

David Brook, the man behind the success of Australia’s organic cattle industry, on his Channel Country station. Picture: Lyndon Mechielsen
Standing atop a red sandhill and surveying fat Hereford cattle, green outback plains and water-filled lakes and swamps after a magnificent 2016, Birdsville cattleman David Brook is a happy man.
This year his joy has an added facet; while cattle prices are at an record high, the outback company he founded 21 years ago is now the biggest organic beef producer in Australia, and demand for its products is doubling annually.
OBE Organic now has 30 outback properties supplying its business with about 15,000 head of organically reared cattle a year. Every station down the legendary Birdsville Track has now converted to organic production since ­locally born Mr Brook showed the way on his family’s five stations.
Organic graziers are paid an ­average 20-30 per cent premium for their organic cattle by OBE.
“My idea originally was that if (by going organic) we could get enough of a premium price for our beef to cancel out the disadvan­tages of remote agriculture, that would be great,” Mr Brook recalled from his Birdsville home, 1600km west of Brisbane.
“But the advantages are much bigger than that now; out here in the Lake Eyre Basin there are no pests and no diseases; no drenches, chemicals, fertilisers or hormones are needed and our animals have space, room to move, clean air and water and are only grass-fed — what could be more authentically and genuinely organic than that?”
Mr Brook quickly grasped that the Channel Country and its surrounding outback areas were naturally suited to organic conversion at a time when organic food was starting to become a niche trend, though he admits the speed and scale of the global organic boom has surprised him.
The latest figures from IBISWorld show Australian organic food production is now worth $920 million, growing at 17 per cent annually since 2011, as more farmers switch to organic fruit, vegetable, poultry, grain and meat production.
The report identifies organic farming as one of the best performing sectors in Australia’s economy — mainly driven by demand from high-earning local consumers and overseas buyers — and predicts it will be a $1.2 billion industry within five years.
Largely because of the formation of OBE Organic and its outback suppliers’ sprawling properties, Australia has the largest amount of registered organic farmland in the world. More than 22 million hectares are certified for organic food production, an area equivalent to Victoria or seven times bigger than Belgium.
OBE Organic chief executive Dalene Wray says the key issue for the bigger and more experienced organic producers, especially as they start to sell overseas, is convincing sceptical consumers they are genuinely ethical and natural organic farmers. “It’s no longer good enough to say on your products that you are organic and expect that will be enough; everyone is now saying they are natural, clean and green to the point where it doesn’t mean much anymore,” she said, describing the 50-60 per cent of OBE’s beef that is exported to the US, Middle East and Asia.
“We say there is a big difference between ‘naturally’ branded organic beef from cattle penned in a feedlot and fed grain in America, to ones grazing on native pasture in the Channel Country.”
OBE farmers are being encouraged to tell their own stories using their station and family names on social media, so global customers can see from where their beef is coming and who are the farmers producing their beef — and to clear up misconceptions about Australian conditions.
OBE Organic recently had ­Korean buyers visit outback Birdsville, clearly sceptical about how so much land could be certified ­organic, and asking where were the big cow barns to house the ­cattle during the winter snows.
“Meat buyers around the world have wised up to some smart and clever marketing — we now have to be prepared to prove what we are saying,” Ms Wray said.
Organic farmers cannot use manufactured fertilisers, or spray pastures and crops with weed and insect-killing chemicals or treat their animals with hormones, antibiotics and other pharmaceuticals.

27 October, 2016

Murray Darling Basin Plan-Big 2016 Wet-Reminder

The big winter wet of this year (2016) is a timely reminder of the flaws in the MDB Plan. I have long been fascinated by inland water flows in this very flat land, with highly variable rainfall, which is the predominant feature of Australia. Dorothea Mackellar got it so right with her classic line "Droughts and Flooding Rains". She might well have added "And not much in the middle".

My interest in the subject became even greater when I found myself Chairman and CEO of an agricultural company whose interests included an irrigation business growing cotton on the Darling River upstream and downstream of Bourke.

My first impressions as I familiarised myself with this business were:-

  1. The human characteristic of always seeking to blame somebody for water shortages and the reluctance to attribute these shortages to natural factors.
  2. The meaningless of average statistics when the spreads around the average are enormous.
  3. The failure of water authorities to appreciate the massive magnitude of the big events, and their frequency, albeit irregularity.
  4. The persistence of these authorities to maintain an attitude of "we must determine how much water for this or that" when "we" have very little control. Man fiddles at the edges. Nature dominates.
For the MDB Authority to ask CSIRO to come up with single Annual Volumetric Limits (AVL's) for each of the significant rivers in the basin is a stupid question from people who clearly do not appreciate the above facts. Limits should be based on percentages of actual flows. Note that from the big events , a very small percentage can amount to a huge amount of water. This massive variability cries out for more dams to spread the benefits.

The 2016 'big wet' winter, following an extremely dry period with no flow in the Darling River below the Menindee Lakes, is a wonderful demonstration of the key characteristic with which we live in this fascinating country. The volume of water that has flowed past Bourke in the last fortnight now exceeds the volume attributed to Sydney Harbour-500,000 megalitres or 500 gigalitres.

David Boyd
27.10.16

17 October, 2016

Profound MDB Comment

Letter to the Editor of the Australian

In its penultimate paragraph your article “Up to their eyes in it but entitlement denied”-The Australian 17 October; reads”....nature has remained the true determinant of the health of the Murray Darling”. This is a profoundly accurate truism. The failure of our scientists and water bureaucrats to recognise this, is at the heart of the totally flawed Murray Darling Basin Plan.
In the depths of the Millennium Drought we mistakenly blamed the natural impact of low river flows on “mismanagement and over allocations”. We then developed highly impractical mechanisms to remedy the situation at great cost to production and socio-economic health.
Recent flooding has dramatically demonstrated the highly variable nature of our river flows and the limited power of man to intervene. The Plan should be rescinded and practical knowledgeable people involved in its re-writing.

David Boyd
17.10.16

16 September, 2016

More Homework

Nearing 80
I have always believed that age is a state of mind. It is sobering to recall that in my youth I viewed people of my age as ancient.Last Sunday I heard a preacher say that those of my age will be 100 in 2041.That sounds a long way off and I’m not sure I will want to be there!

In 1963 I bought a life assurance policy which required a noting of my retirement year of 2006. This induced spontaneous laughter, it seemed such a distant date.

Monitoring fashionable words and expressions has been a lifetime hobby. I once attended an in-house company conference at which the senior executives spoke. As I noted the most used words, it became apparent they all used the same terms. This is much the same in the wider community. How much is true knowledge and how much pretence?

Think about today’s fashionable words-”sustainable”, “political correctness”, ”digital disruption”, “transition” ”identity politics”, ”innovation”, “data”, ”google”. I wonder what the buzz words will be 2041? Will we be using battery powered driverless cars, centrally owned? What will we do with all the space freed up by the need for many fewer individually owned vehicles? Or does that not follow?

Finding new ways of doing things and predicting the unintended consequences, can be tremendously exciting and those who forecast and position themselves correctly, can gain great economic benefits. I am mindful of the African message -”Every morning in Africa, a Gazelle wakes up. It knows it must run faster than the fastest lion or it will be killed. Every morning a Lion wakes up. It knows it must outrun the slowest Gazelle or it will starve to death. So it doesn't matter whether you are a Lion or a Gazelle... when the sun comes up, you'd better be running.”

But, the mind may or may not be willing, and the body will almost certainly be weak!
David Boyd
07.09.16

More Homework For My Writing Course

There Should Have Been …..

I took a week off work and headed bush. I wanted to show my English soldier cousin Michael, on his first visit to Australia, the real thing. He was looking for a cup of coffee before we were over the Blue Mountains! This could be a long trip. The season was good and the country looked great, but I don’t think the Lieutenant Colonel had much appreciation.

We were headed for Walgett-a long drive. We made small talk. I was conscious of my early lessons in stock and station agency-if you had a difficult client take him for a drive to a sheep or cattle sale and get to know him. Years later I added to my collection of maxims; “I don’t like that man, I must get to know him”. We were to stay a night at our mutual cousin’s Walgett station homestead on the banks of the Barwon. We were greeted warmly enough and eventually invited in. Michael seemed uncomfortable and next morning was anxious to get moving.

We were asked to give a neighbour a lift to Tamworth as we headed for the high country at Walcha. The neighbour was a garrulous, extrovert “bushie”, with none of my inhibitions, who had clearly decided that he was going to find out how this “pommy bugger” ticked.

What evolved was quite the most entertaining, interesting drive I have ever experienced. With sustained questioning from our passenger, the Colonel regaled us with a fascinating account of his  war-time experiences. His exploits in North Africa, (for which I subsequently discovered he earned an M.C), his presence at the signing of both the German surrender in Europe and the Japanese surrender, his role in the capture of the German SS Commander General Himmler and the discovery and liberation of the horrific Belsen concentration camp.

There should have been a recording.

David Boyd

14.09.16